NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 06, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 8 | 39 | 66.7% | 1 | 30.9 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Batchelor | 7 | 39 | 58.3% | 2 | 26.4 | 4 |
| 3 | Steve Creaser | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 3 | 25.7 | 6 |
| 3 | Dan Ellenberger | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 3 | 23.6 | 9 |
| 3 | Luke Phelan | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 3 | 26.6 | 3 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 3 | 26.7 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 6 | 39 | 50.0% | 3 | 25.8 | 5 |
| 8 | Matt Hogel | 5 | 39 | 41.7% | 8 | 24.8 | 7 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 5 | 39 | 41.7% | 8 | 24.7 | 8 |
| 10 | Gavin Gray | 4 | 39 | 33.3% | 10 | 22.2 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 12.4 | @ ARI | 0.69 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 9.7 | CIN | 0.61 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 8.8 | HOU | 0.73 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 12.1 | PIT | 0.88 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 7.5 | @ GB | 0.24 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 6.8 | DET | 0.61 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 9.6 | CHI | 0.73 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 8.9 | PHI | 0.31 |
| Washington Commanders | 1 | 7.3 | TEN | 0.41 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 7.7 | IND | 0.62 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 9.0 | DAL | 0.69 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 6.9 | MIA | 0.38 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 8.2 | LAC | 0.41 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 9.4 | @ CLE | 0.59 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 9.1 | @ CAR | 0.72 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 12.2 | NYG | |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 10.3 | @ NYJ | 0.62 |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 4.1 | @ JAK | 0.27 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 11.7 | LV | 0.73 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 5.9 | @ MIN | 0.27 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 8.1 | @ KC | 0.27 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 11.5 | ATL | 0.8 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 7.2 | @ WAS | 0.59 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 6.1 | @ NE | 0.39 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 10.6 | @ LAR | 0.31 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 6.7 | SF | 0.28 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 7.4 | @ DEN | 0.38 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 9.7 | @ BAL | 0.39 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 7.1 | SEA | 0.69 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 5.4 | @ BUF | 0.12 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 2 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 1 | 20 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1 | 16 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears | 2 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Denver Broncos | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 3 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 26 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 8 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 1 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 1 | 14 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 23 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 2 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 19 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 22 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
Draft Results
